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About the Project

The SERENE Project stands for Scientific Evidence for Risk Engineering Norms and Education.

It’s a strategic, public-private partnership between the National Building Review Board (NBRB) and the Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation, a globally recognized authority on seismic hazard and risk modeling.

This multi-year program brings together world-class seismic risk models, technical mentorship, and national policy frameworks to strengthen Uganda’s ability to withstand earthquake-related disasters.

This initiative is all about protecting lives, homes, schools, hospitals, and infrastructure across Uganda by applying world-class science and data to strengthen how we plan, build, and regulate our cities.

While natural hazards cannot be prevented, many building-related disasters—particularly fires and structural failures—are avoidable through improved design, compliance, and enforcement. SERENE integrates both natural and human-induced risks to support a safer and more resilient built environment.

SERENE is not only a seismic risk initiative—it is a national platform for understanding and reducing risks in the built environment, including those arising from fires, building failures, and unsafe construction practices.

Why the Project ?

Uganda’s urban growth, poor enforcement of building codes, and lack of seismic data made a strong case for action.

Recognizing this, His Excellency the President of Uganda, issued multiple directives for earthquake-resistant construction, retrofitting assessments, and code enforcement.

The SERENE Project is Uganda’s official response: a long-term commitment to using science, data, and collaboration to protect citizens, property, and public infrastructure.

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Earthquake epicentres, active and minor fault systems, and area source zonation model.
Distribution of seismicity over time for the events in the earthquake catalogue for Uganda
Distribution of seismicity over time for the events in the earthquake catalogue for Uganda

Temporal population distribution of Uganda

Why the Project matters

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Co-seismic and rainfall-induced landslide pixels (areas); relative to the major regional cities, active and minor fault systems, mountains and locations of known landslide scars which occurred in Uganda and around its neighboring countries between 1933 and 2018

Uganda sits between two arms of the East African Rift System, making earthquakes a real and present threat.

As cities grow and more people move into multi-storey buildings, the risks increase, especially when buildings are not up to standard.The SERENE Project directly responds to Presidential directives demanding earthquake-resilient construction, regular building inspections, and the revision of outdated codes.

By turning these mandates into action, the SERENE Project is building national resilience, not just reacting to disasters.

Population Exposure

The most densely populated urban areas consist of approximately 200 persons per 100-metre cell grid. In addition to the north-eastern terri tory, which is largely semi-arid, the least populated areas are mostly occupied by game parks and forests. Although most regions around past earthquake epicentres in western Uganda are relatively less populated compared with the central and eastern parts of the country, the growing economic activity and rapid urbanization which has led to the creation of major regional cities (e.g., Fort Portal, Hoima and Mbarara) are likely to increase the human and housing population in these areas, thereby posing increasing seismic risks.

Kampala capital city and its immediate environs comprise the most highly populated areas, followed by the border trade districts and regional cities. With increasing population, urbanisation and rapid construction, seismic risk in the country is escalating fast and is compounded by the high vulnerability of the building stock and inadequate disaster prevention and mitigation strategies. Hence, there is an urgent need to assess Uganda’s resilience against seismic risks.

Population projections for the baseline year 2024, aggregated for major administrative units and presented for district population per square km, and total number of persons per district

Human-Induced Risks in the Built Environment

Addressing Preventable Disasters

While Uganda is exposed to natural hazards such as earthquakes, landslides, and floods, a significant proportion of risks in the built environment arise from human-induced factors. These include:

  1. Fire outbreaks in buildings, markets, and public facilities
  2. Structural failures and building collapses
  3. Construction accidents and unsafe site practices
  4. Infrastructure failures linked to design, material, or workmanship deficiencies
Unlike natural hazards, these risks are largely preventable and are often associated with non-compliance with building standards, use of substandard materials, and inadequate supervision. The SERENE Project recognizes that building safety must address both natural and artificial hazards to achieve a truly resilient built environment.

Fire Risk & Building Safety

FIRE RISK AND BUILDING SAFETY
FIRE RISK AND BUILDING SAFETY

Fire as a Critical Urban Risk

Fire outbreaks represent one of the most frequent and damaging hazards affecting Uganda’s built environment, particularly in urban centres, informal settlements, and public buildings. Common causes include:

  1. Faulty electrical installations
  2. Lack of fire safety systems (alarms, extinguishers, escape routes)
  3. Poor building design and materials
  4. Overcrowding and informal construction

These events often result in:

  1. Loss of life and livelihoods
  2. Destruction of property and infrastructure
  3. Disruption of economic activity

Strengthening Fire Safety through the SERENE project

SERENE will contribute to improving fire safety by:

  1. Supporting evidence-based updates to building regulations and standards
  2. Integrating fire risk considerations into building vulnerability assessments
  3. Enhancing data collection on fire incidents and building performance
  4. Promoting safe construction practices and materials
  5. Supporting tools such as the NBRB Fire Safety Assessment Toolkit

Some of the Most Catastrophic Events

1966
Toro Earthquake (Ms 6.6)

160 deaths, over 13000 injuries, more than 7000 houses destroyed

1994
Kisomoro Earthquake (Ms 6.2)

8 fatalities, economic loss worth US$ 60 million

2010
Bududa Landslide

388 deaths, over 8500 lives affected

2016
Bukoba Earthquake (Mw 5.9)

11 deaths, > 440 injuries, economic loss in excess of US$ 458 millions

Some of the Previous Damages

Lessons from Building Failures

Understanding Structural Failures
Understanding Structural Failures

Understanding Structural Failures

Building collapses and structural failures continue to highlight systemic challenges within the construction sector. Investigations have consistently identified:

  1. Poor-quality materials
  2. Inadequate structural design
  3. Lack of professional supervision
  4. Non-compliance with approved plans and standards

These failures are often exacerbated by rapid urbanization and the proliferation of non-engineered buildings, particularly in informal settlements

FROM EVIDENCE TO ACTION

SERENE will leverage such evidence to:

  1. Inform building code revisions and enforcement mechanisms
  2. Support development of fragility and vulnerability models for typical building types
  3. Guide retrofitting and risk reduction strategies
  4. Strengthen inspection and compliance systems

This approach enables more comprehensive and realistic risk assessments, supporting better planning, regulation, and investment decisions.

Integrating Natural & Artificial Risks

A Multi-Hazard Approach to Building Safety

Traditional risk assessments often focus on natural hazards alone. However, in Uganda, risk is best understood as a combination of:

  1. Hazard exposure (earthquakes, floods, landslides)
  2. Structural vulnerability (design, materials, construction quality)
  3. Human-induced factors (fires, unsafe practices, regulatory gaps)

SERENE therefore adopts a multi-hazard, systems-based approach, integrating:

  1. Scientific hazard modelling
  2. Building stock characterisation
  3. Evidence from building failures and fire incidents

This approach enables more comprehensive and realistic risk assessments, supporting better planning, regulation, and investment decisions.

Role of Regulation & Enforcement

Preventing Disasters through Compliance

A key finding across both natural and human-induced disasters is that weak compliance with building standards significantly increases risk.

SERENE will strengthen regulatory systems by:

  1. Providing scientific evidence to support enforcement
  2. Enhancing building inspection and monitoring systems
  3. Supporting policy development and regulatory reforms
  4. Promoting compliance with approved materials, methods, and designs

How the partnership works

SERENE PROJECT Partners.

This partnership is formalized under a 3-year agreement (2025–2028), making Uganda the first African country to be granted full participation in GEM’s strategic governance without financial contribution.

Uganda holds a Governor-level seat on GEM’s board, joining an elite global group shaping earthquake safety policy.

NBRB

A statutory body established under the Building Control Act, is mandated to promote and ensure planned, decent and safe building structures that are developed in harmony with the environment in Uganda.

GEM Foundation

Provides open-source software, seismic hazard models, technical mentorship, and access to global risk modelling platforms like OpenQuake.

Goals of the Project

The SERENE Project addresses seismic risk at every level, from scientific modelling to on-the-ground training. Its key goals include:

  1. Developing Uganda’s first national seismic hazard map
  2. Creating exposure models to assess vulnerable building stock
  3. Updating Uganda’s seismic code (US319:2003), seismic design updates, and disaster planning.
  4. Training engineers, inspectors, and policymakers
  5. Supporting disaster-preparedness and early warning strategies
  6. Enhancing regulations for future construction and retrofitting

All of this aligns with Uganda’s Vision 2040, the National Development Plan (NDP IV), National Disaster Risk Reduction Strategy, Uganda Seismic Code modernization process and the Sustainable Development Goals

Key activities of the project

The project is earmarked to kick off in 2026, with several work packages included:

  1. Hazard Mapping: Identifying areas most prone to seismic shocks.
  2. Exposure & Vulnerability Assessment: Surveying Uganda’s building stock and infrastructure.
  3. Engineering & Code Revision: Upgrading construction standards and compliance.
  4. Training & Capacity Building: Equipping professionals with seismic design knowledge.
  5. Stakeholder Engagement: Hosting barazas, conferences, and workshops to raise awareness.

These efforts aim to generate Uganda’s first earthquake economic loss map and update the national risk profile.

Benefits to the General Public

 

To manage earthquake risks and significantly reduce fatalities, casualties and economic losses, appropriate pre- and post-disaster risk mitigation strategies ought to be developed and adequately implemented.

At a national level, mitigation of earthquake risk largely requires the formulation and implementation of appropriate seismic design codes. The current seismic design guidelines of Uganda (US 319:2003) are not only obsolete, but also not in line with modern seismic design codes. In that respect, there is an urgent need to review and update US 319:2003 so as to reflect advanced understanding of the seismic behaviour of structures developed in recent decades. However, the hazard and socio-economic (including the national building inventory) level of the country need to be quantified first. The SERENE Project is designed for the public good. Here’s how communities will benefit:

 

Safer Homes & Schools

Earthquake-proof construction and affordable retrofitting practices.

Informed Policies

Regulatory reforms that prioritize safety and sustainability.

Increased Preparedness

Early warning systems and public awareness campaigns.

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Economic Protection

Reduced damage costs and more informed insurance strategies.

Inclusive Resilience

Special attention to vulnerable populations, including women, schoolchildren, and slum communities.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

No direct funding is involved. Uganda provides expert time and in-kind support, while GEM supplies tools, data, and technical mentorship., though the transition does limit overflow.

Yes. The SERENE Project will strengthen regulation and help revise Uganda’s seismic code to improve building safet

High-risk seismic areas like Fort Portal, Bundibugyo, Hoima, and Mbarara will benefit directly from improved data and risk mitigation planning.

Engineers, building inspectors, urban planners, and policy-makers will receive technical training in seismic modelling and enforcement.
Get In Touch

National Building Review Board

2nd Floor Southwing Rumee, Plot 19 Lumumba Avenue, Kampala

Toll Free : 0800 220746
WhatsApp : +256705559482

Inquiries : [email protected]

Mon-Fri: 9am to 6pm

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